B.C. residential property market ‘firming’ as home sales, prices rise

With listings down for seventh straight month, sector edges towards seller’s market territory once more

Glacier Media Real Estate
December 12, 2019

BCREA Nov 2019 sales listings graph
Source: BCREA Economics

After a flurry of unexpectedly strong early-fall activity, the housing market across B.C. is “firming,” according to a report released December 12 by the B.C. Real Estate Association (BCREA).

There were 6,616 residential unit sales recorded around the province in November, which is 27.5 per cent higher than in November 2018.

“After several months of strong gains, home sales are now firming around long-run averages,” said Brendon Ogmundson, BCREA chief economist. “We expect 2020 will be a much more typical year for markets compared to the volatility of recent years.”

As sales rose, active residential listings in the province were 6.6 per cent lower than November 2018 at 31,310 units, and down for a seventh consecutive month on a seasonally adjusted basis, said the BCREA. The sales-to-active listings ratio across all home types held firm at 21 per cent, which is still considered currently a balanced market. When the ratio is more than 20 per cent for several consecutive months, it can be considered a seller’s market.

The graph above shows the relatively short period of time in which the market softened, with listings higher than sales, before the trend lines crossed back in September this year.

Average price increases also continued to gain strength, with an average sale price in November of $746,939, up 5.5 per cent compared with one year previously. This put November’s total sales dollar volume up 34.4 per cent over the same month last year.

As ever, the market varies considerably by region, with most areas seeing annual sale price increases but the hardest-hit areas still lagging, including Greater Vancouver.

BCREA Nov 2019 sales prices regional
Source: BCREA Economics

The November sales report follows BCREA’s December 11 mortgage forecast, which said that the Bank of Canada prime rate is likely to stay flat through to the end of the year and all through 2020. The average five-year fixed rate is expected to increase incrementally in Q1 and Q2 next year, then stay level at a still-low 2.95 per cent through the remainder of 2020.

Joannah Connolly is editorial director of Glacier Media Real Estate, Glacier Media's real estate division. Joannah writes and curates real estate news for Glacier Media's local newspaper websites, including the Vancouver Courier, Times Colonist, Prince George Citizen, North Shore News, Burnaby Now, Tri-City News and others. She also writes and oversees editorial content in Real Estate Weekly Homes, West Coast Condos & Homes, Western Investor and Glacier's special real estate publications. A dual Canadian-British citizen, Joannah has 23 years of journalism and editing experience in Vancouver and London, with a background in construction, architecture, healthcare and business media. Joannah has appeared on major local TV outlets as a real estate commentator, has moderated and spoken on various industry panels, and spent two years hosting the Real Estate Therapist talk radio show on Vancouver's Roundhouse Radio.
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